October 24, 2012
In prior
articles on HECM reverse mortgages, I lamented the tendency
for most seniors entering the program to draw the maximum
amount of cash allowed at the outset – as opposed to taking
a credit line. I pointed out the obvious, that if you use up
all your borrowing power today, you won’t have it tomorrow,
when your needs might be greater.
But there is a
lot more to it than that. The borrowing power you don’t use
today but place in a credit line is much larger tomorrow
because it grows at a compound rate. In 10 years, it could
be twice as large as the amount you could draw now, or even
more. This makes the selection of a HECM credit line a type
of investment, except that the return is much higher than
the return on any low-risk financial assets available in the
market. In
addition, the senior who retains borrowing power in an
unused credit line enjoys property value protection. Seniors
who elect to purchase a tenure annuity, under which they
receive a monthly payment for as long as they live in their
home, enjoy almost the same benefits as those who reserve
all their borrowing power in an unused credit line.
To illustrate
these points, I developed the accompanying table which shows
what happens over a 10-year period to three seniors of 70
with houses worth $300,000 who select three different HECM
options. One draws the maximum cash allowed using a
fixed-rate HECM. The second draws no cash at all but allows
her credit line on an adjustable-rate HECM to grow over the
10 years. The third, also using an adjustable rate HECM,
elects to receive a fixed monthly (tenure) payment over the
entire period she lives in the house.
A comparison
of senior one and two shows the potential benefit of
deferring the cash draw. The first senior who withdraws
$192,900 at 70, at age 80 has equity in his home of only
$82,195 (assuming a 4% appreciation rate), and has no access
to additional funds. The second senior at 80 has a credit
line that has grown to $272,960 and equity of $428,093. The
first senior would have to invest the $192,900 cash draw at
5.85% to be as well off as the second senior at age 80. For
most seniors, that is not possible.
It is very
likely, furthermore, that the advantage of the second senior
at age 80 will be much larger. The numbers cited above
assume that the initial ARM rate of 2.49% continues over the
10-year period. The likelihood is very high that ARM rates
will be higher in the future, which works to the advantage
of senior two because the unused credit line grows at the
ARM rate plus the mortgage insurance premium rate of 1.25%.
If the ARM rate turns out to be 6%, for example, the credit
line at age 80 will be $387,117 instead of $272, 960, and at
8% it will be $474,181.
The right-most
column in the table shows the senior’s credit line, which is
the amount he can draw, less his equity in the property,
which is the amount he can realize if he sells his home. If
this number is positive, which it will be if interest rates
escalate more than property values, the senior who has
decided to leave his home, for whatever reason, does better
by drawing as much as possible from his line before moving
out. FHA will be stuck for the loss.
I doubt that
anyone intended that the HECM program provide property value
protection, it is most likely an inadvertent consequence of
program design. But seniors who take all their cash up-front
do not have this protection.
Senior 3 draws a
monthly (“tenure”) payment for the entire period she lives
in the house, but can switch to a credit line at any time.
Her credit line is not as large as that of senior 2
because of the monthly payments she receives, but it will be
larger at higher interest rates. To access it senior three
has to notify her servicer that she wants to switch out of
the monthly tenure payment plan into a credit line plan, and
pay $20.
The beauty of
the monthly tenure option is that the senior supplements
retirement income immediately, yet is free to adjust to
changing circumstances by switching to a credit line. She
can do this in order to draw more, or the reverse. If she
does not need any cash draws for three years, for example,
she can switch to a credit line and allow the line to grow
untouched for three years, then switch back to a monthly
tenure payment that would be larger than the one she had
earlier. Note further that senior three has exactly the same
property value protection as senior two. The monthly tenure
option has it all.
Status of Three Seniors at Age 80 Who Take HECMs on $300,000
Homes at Age 70:
Senior 1 Takes Maximum Upfront Cash, Senior 2 Takes Maximum
Credit Line, and Senior 3 Takes Maximum Monthly Tenure
Payment
Assumptions |
Status At Age 80 |
|||||
Interest Rate
(1) |
Property Value Appreciation
(2) |
Loan Balance
(3) |
Property Value
(4) |
Equity
(5)
[4 – 3] |
Available Credit line
(6) |
Available Credit Line Less Equity
(7)
[6 – 5] |
Senior 1: Maximum Cash Withdrawal of $192,900 at
Age 70 Using Standard Fixed-Rate HECM |
||||||
4.75%* |
4% |
$361,878 |
$444.073 |
$82,195 |
0 |
-$82,195 |
4.75%* |
0% |
$361,878 |
$300,000 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Senior 2: Maximum Credit Line of $187,900 at Age
70 Using
Standard Adjustable Rate HECM |
||||||
2.49%* |
4% |
$15,980 |
$444,073 |
$428,093 |
$272,960 |
-$155,133 |
2.49%* |
0 |
$15,980 |
$300,000 |
$284,020 |
$272,960 |
-$11,060 |
6% |
4% |
$22,663 |
$444,073 |
$421,410 |
$387,117 |
-$34,293 |
6% |
0 |
$22,663 |
$300,000 |
$277,337 |
$387,117
|
$109,780 |
8% |
4% |
$27,642 |
$444,073 |
$416,431 |
$472,181 |
$55,750 |
8% |
0 |
$27,642 |
$300,000 |
$272,358 |
$472,181 |
$199,823 |
Senior 3: Maximum Monthly Tenure Payment of $866
Beginning at Age 70 Using
Standard Adjustable Rate HECM |
||||||
2.49%* |
4% |
$142,220 |
$444,073 |
$301,853 |
$146,721 |
-$155,132 |
2.49%* |
0 |
$142,220 |
$300,000 |
$157,780 |
$146,721 |
-$11,059 |
8% |
4% |
$199,010 |
$444,073 |
$245,063 |
$300,813 |
$55,750 |
8% |
0 |
$199,010 |
$300,000 |
$100,990 |
$300,813 |
$199,823 |
*Current rate